
Tesla is about to launch a design refresh for Mannequin Y, its hottest mannequin, and it raises an essential query: can it reignite Tesla’s progress?
Luckily, we’ve latest comparability since Tesla refreshed the Mannequin 3 final 12 months.
Tesla doesn’t break down gross sales per mannequin so we’ve to depend on third-party information to trace Mannequin 3 gross sales.
There are various estimates, however most of them are placing Tesla Mannequin 3 gross sales between 500,000 and 530,000 models in 2023 previous to the refresh.
In 2024, estimates are placing gross sales at roughly the identical.
Tesla supply analyst TroyTeslike has information pointing to 520,000 Mannequin 3 deliveries in 2024. The manufacturing changeover has actually affected gross sales within the first of the 12 months, however it seems like manufacturing and deliveries peaked in Q3 as Troy has Mannequin 3 on the identical quantity of about 149,000 models in Q3 and This autumn.
As with all different Tesla fashions, the peaked supply volumes had been additionally achieved with document incentives and reductions in This autumn.
Can Mannequin Y refresh be completely different?
Mannequin 3 refresh didn’t assist this system that a lot. It’s nearly doing the identical supply volumes it was final 12 months, however it doesn’t essentially imply the identical will occur with Mannequin Y.
A variety of that is dependent upon the refresh itself.
Earlier right now, we had our greatest take a look at the refresh up to now, and it’s just like the Mannequin 3 refresh within the sense that it options new headlights and taillights, though completely different ones than Mannequin 3, together with gentle bars, in addition to a extra aggressive front-end.

The extent of exterior adjustments is just like the Mannequin 3 refresh in phrases that it’s vital however not massively completely different both.
Tesla didn’t go into too many particulars about “underneath the hood” adjustments with the Mannequin 3 refresh, however it did function an improved suspension, a quieter cabin, and a slight improve in effectivity.
We will count on comparable enhancements to the Mannequin Y.
There have been some adjustments that individuals noticed as damaging, with the principle one being the brand new steering wheel. Mannequin Y continues to be the one car in Tesla’s lineup that doesn’t have a stalkless steering wheel with power contact flip indicators and a gear selector on the middle show.
Contemplating all different Tesla automobiles went that means, that is anticipated to alter with the Mannequin Y refresh. Personally, I didn’t have any downside adapting to the brand new flip indicators when driving the brand new Mannequin 3 and Cybertruck, however I do admit that the gear selector is annoying.
I do know many Tesla followers refused to get a Tesla car with steering wheel stalks.
Electrek’s Take
Primarily based on the knowledge we’ve proper now, I might count on the Mannequin Y refresh to have an analogous affect because the Mannequin 3 refresh, however we might get a shock.
Clearly, if there have been vital enhancements to the vary, that will make a giant distinction, however I might solely count on small incremental enhancements at finest.
A much bigger shock can be Tesla bringing one thing just like the steer-by-wire and a 48-volt structure from Cybertruck to Mannequin Y. It’s important to attempt it to understand it, however the steer-by-wire on Cybertruck is tremendous enjoyable.
The design replace seems good, however I believed the Mannequin 3 redesign was even sharper, and it didn’t have a lot of an affect. I believe new options or extra effectivity/vary can be essentially the most vital distinction makers.
What do you assume? Tell us within the remark part beneath.
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